Poll Shows Hick With Tenuous Lead Over GOP Rivals

November 19, 2013
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The poll showed Hickenlooper trailing his chief 2010 rival Tom Tancredo with independent voters

The poll shows Hickenlooper trailing his chief 2010 rival, Tom Tancredo, among independent voters

DENVER – Governor John Hickenlooper remains deadlocked with his Republican challengers, and is trailing with independent voters when matched against his chief 2010 rival, former U.S. Rep. Tom Tancredo, according to a new poll.

The survey, conducted by Quinnipiac University, tested the Democrat against several of the GOP candidates seeking to oust him next year.

In each matchup, the poll showed Hickenlooper clinging to a tenuous single digit lead.

Hickenlooper led Tancredo by a slim 46 percent to 41 percent margin, and Secretary of State Scott Gessler by a similar tally, 45 percent to 40 percent.  Former Senate Minority Leader Mike Kopp was slightly closer, trailing Hickenlooper 44 percent to 40 percent, and Hickenlooper posted a 44 percent to 38 percent edge over state Sen. Greg Brophy of Wray.

State Republican Party officials were buoyed by the poll, which they say suggests how vulnerable Hickenlooper is going into next year’s election.

“Over the past three years, Gov. Hickenlooper has ignored the people of Colorado and forced through a virulent agenda that is hurting working families, job creators and senior citizens,” Colorado Republican Committee Executive Director Shana Kohn said in a statement.  “Today’s poll shows that Coloradans have had enough of Gov. Hickenlooper’s arrogance, and are ready to turn the page on his feckless and divisive legacy.”

Critics have said that Hickenlooper’s sub-50 percent polling numbers are a result of the governor’s focus on divisive social issues, his pursuit of an ideologically liberal agenda on items like gun control, and his widely unpopular decision to block the execution of convicted multiple murderer Nathan Dunlap.

The statement from the state GOP echoed those criticisms, noting that the survey “comes shortly after Hickenlooper’s signature $1 billion tax on working families was trounced in the polls.  And after a contentious legislative session where he caved to radical special interests on everything from new regulations on job creators to raising energy rates on rural Coloradans.”

Among independent voters, Hickenlooper trailed Tancredo (43 percent to 41), while splitting even with Gessler (39 percent to 39).  Hickenlooper led Brophy (39 percent to 37) and Kopp (40 percent to 38) with the group.

The GOP field all enjoyed a significant lead over Hickenlooper among men, while the Democrat led among women.

Nearly half of those surveyed – 49 percent – said Hickenlooper did not deserve to be re-elected.

“Colorado Gov. John Hickenlooper does not have much room to breathe the Rocky Mountain air, and certainly no clear sailing back to the statehouse,” said Quinnipiac’s Tim Malloy in a statement.

One bright spot for Hickenlooper was his edge with Hispanic voters against each of his rivals.  Among the group, the governor led Tancredo (60 percent to 20), Gessler (56 percent to 23), Brophy (55 percent to 23) and Kopp (59 percent to 19) by similarly large margins.

The survey polled 1,206 registered voters between November 15 and 18, and has a margin of + / – 2.8 percentage points.

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8 Responses to Poll Shows Hick With Tenuous Lead Over GOP Rivals

  1. concerned
    November 20, 2013 at 8:53 am

    Lt’s be real — TancredoKoppBrophyHOuseGessler cannot win. They all care heavy baggage. George Brauchler is a fresh face who can win. Pete Coors has a DUI but can win. Walker Stapleton can win. The five candidates in the race now have neither a wing nor a prayer of winning

    • November 26, 2013 at 8:22 pm

      Hickenlooper doesn’t have any heavy baggage after last session? He can go be a handmaiden to bloomberg. He isn’t interested in what’s best for Colorado.

  2. MainFrank
    November 20, 2013 at 3:23 pm

    I don’t want a “fresh face” just for the sake of having one. I want someone who won’t govern by the will of special interests (on either side). On that count, I don’t think there’s anyone more tested and reliable than Tancredo. Whoever the GOP nominee is, I hope they go everywhere and earn the respect of all voters. I’m not a huge Christie fan, but I read the other day that he recently went to a town hall in a place that he got only 4.7% of the vote his first election. Showing up goes a long way, folks.

    • Deb Werner
      November 23, 2013 at 12:55 pm

      I agree. I have always liked Tom. I believe that Coloradoans are ready for someone with common sense.

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