CNN Analyst Predicts Udall Will Lose As Democrat’s Stock Tumbles

April 21, 2014
Sen. Mark Udall

Sen. Mark Udall

DENVER — Sen. Mark Udall’s reelection prospects took another hit Sunday when political analyst Stuart Rothenberg predicted on CNN’s “State of the Union” that the Democrat would lose in November.

Moderator Candy Crowley asked three panelists discussing the 2014 campaign to “give me what will surprise me the day after the election in terms of the Senate race.”

Rothenberg, director of the Rothenberg Political Report and a Roll Call columnist, predicted that Republican Rep. Cory Gardner would capture the Colorado Senate seat.

“I think probably Udall loses in Colorado to Cory Gardner in a race that three months ago we would have said was off the table,” said Rothenberg.

The prediction underscores the growing perception that Udall is on the verge of joining, if he hasn’t already, the short list of Democratic Senate incumbents whose seats are in real danger of falling to Republicans in November.

Udall has seen his political fortunes drop this year perhaps more dramatically than any other Senate incumbent, thanks to a combination of factors that include President Obama’s declining popularity; an outcry over Udall’s staff pressuring state insurance officials to revise their Obamacare cancellations, and Gardner’s recent jump into the race.

Udall has also been dinged by his connection to climate-change movement. He spoke during the Senate’s climate-change all-nighter in March and attended a February fundraiser thrown by liberal billionaire Tom Steyer, who has pledged to spend $100 million to elect politicians who support his issue.

Less than two months ago, the Rothenberg Political Report had Udall’s seat listed as “Safe Democrat,” but Gardner’s decision in late February to enter the Senate contest prompted Rothenberg to change the rating to “Democrat Favored.”

A month later, Rothenberg downgraded the race again to “Leans Democrat,” citing recent polling in Colorado as well as GOP success in the March 11 special House election in Florida.

“When Gardner jumped into the race, we immediately changed our Rothenberg Political Report rating of the race to Democrat Favored,” said analyst Nathan L. Gonzales in a March 20 post. “Now, we’re changing our rating to Leans Democrat, placing it firmly on the playing field of competitive races that could decide control of the Senate.”

Udall rolled out his new campaign theme, “True Colorado,” at last week’s Democratic Party State Assembly at the Colorado Convention Center, an effort to emphasize his Western roots and change the subject from his ties to unpopular Obama administration programs like the Affordable Care Act.

“Mark Udall: This is what true Colorado looks like,” says the video’s narrator.

Polls released in March shortly after Gardner entered the Senate campaign show the candidates locked in a statistical tie. A Harper Polling survey for the GOP-tilting American Action Network found Udall leading Gardner by 45 to 44 percentage points, while Rasmussen Reports showed Udall ahead by 42 to 41 percent.

Democrat-leaning Public Policy Polling shows Udall edging Gardner by 42 to 40 percentage points.

Comments made by visitors are not representative of The Colorado Observer staff.

13 Responses to CNN Analyst Predicts Udall Will Lose As Democrat’s Stock Tumbles

  1. Chris
    April 21, 2014 at 9:44 am

    I’ve noticed Udall making the rounds throughout CO. He’s really trying to get face time. Let’s hope he can put a moving company to work after election time.

    • Mike Fuller
      April 22, 2014 at 5:39 am

      He is only visiting areas friendly to him. He visited 15 of Colorado’s 64 counties. Everyone else gets all 64 counties in. He doesn’t even try. If you want someone that will put you to work…in something other than the green energy movement…don’t elect a Democrat in Colorado.

  2. Bob Terry
    April 21, 2014 at 11:17 am

    Yeah good ol Mark …True Colorado…Mark’s and Obama’s idea for true Colorado. Mark for energy ( yeah clean stuff, which can and will be good as technology evolves, but not now)..Mark for Union Job’s… Well Markie, address the Northern Colorado, Somerset, and Paonia, boys you claim to support, oh yeah, right UGGG Anthracite coal. Miners, and truckers, oh the Union Pacific railroaders, be off with you great unwashed!!! Hey Union People, yes and I was one for 40 years…WAKE UP!!!, where are these Mark Job’s…they aren’t because he’s doing a lil undermining …and it’s YOU!

    Lip Service that’s all it is. Let’s hope everyone sees this. Oh yeah maybe Mark can get a moving van…solar or LPG powered. yeah it will cost more, but hey the Colorado citizens have deep pockets … Go Mark GO …back to Utah… Sorry Utah, but he belongs to you guys not as a “Boil” in and on Colorado

  3. Chip Saunders
    April 21, 2014 at 1:17 pm

    Udall the buffoon who promotes bird and bat killing wind “energy,” never mind the fact that it doesn’t pay for itself. Same with bird and butterfly killing solar. Another thing he likes killing is the Keystone Pipeline, that and thousands of jobs and the idea of energy self sufficiency for the country. He’s gotta go!

  4. Brian McFarlane
    April 21, 2014 at 9:13 pm

    Udall represents Obama and his ideology not his Colorado constituents… a by-product of 17th Constitutional amendment championed by the Progressive president Woodrow Wilson.

    The least a US Senator can do is listen to his constituents over his Party’s leader.

    • Barneby
      April 22, 2014 at 2:17 pm

      The people of Colorado voted for a Democrat. Did you not expect him to vote like a Democrat?

      More stupidity from the Right.

      • Brian McFarlane
        April 22, 2014 at 5:07 pm

        1/3 of Colorado voters claim to be “independent” and the rest are pretty much evenly split between the Dems and Reps. So, NO many people that voted “for” Udall did not necessarily vote “for” a Dem. As I recall as well, many voters voted “against” the other major candidate, not for Udall. So of course when Gardner is elected to be the Colorado US Senator you will expect him to represent Republicans instead of his Colorado constituents that includes many “independents”. Many Dems are for the growth in the gas and oil industry and constructing the pipeline. Is Udall listening to them?

  5. Miles Elder
    April 22, 2014 at 12:11 pm

    Adios, Senator Moonbeam! Now that the GOP has a credible candidate in the race your days are over.

  6. Steven Nein
    April 23, 2014 at 9:13 pm

    Have any of you anti-Udall people ever looked at Rep. Gardner’s voting record lately? This man has flip-flopped on about every issue possible and voted to shut down the government, and cut the food stamps and to repeal the ACA some 54 times! This will come back to haunt him in Novem ber because the ACA is a big positive as you all will soon find out!

    • Brian McFarlane
      April 24, 2014 at 12:39 pm

      I hope Udall continues to support the ACA … Colorado voters oppose Obamacare by a margin of 59 to 37 percentage points, including 62-34 percent among unaffiliated voters. A Colorado US Senator or House Rep should primarily vote the way his constituents want.

      Gardner is still anti-abortion, he changed his mind on Personhood initiatives. Since you say he has flipped-flopped on about every issue possible you can surely come up with 2-3 more flip flops of his? Right?

      Do you have something about this “vote to shut down the government” (as if that’s a bad thing) I can’t find where the House had a vote on that.
      Of course Republicans were requesting a delay on implementing ACA but instead Obama apparently wanted to do that unilaterally, especially for business.

      • Angelique Moreno
        June 11, 2014 at 3:43 pm

        Shutting down the governmnet cost the nation MILLIONS of dollars. Repukes say they prefer limited government, but almost all of them have no problem voting for anti-woman initiatives such as closing down Planned Parenthood centers.

        • lucy
          July 15, 2014 at 8:46 am

          Another nonfactual comment. Nobody has voted to “close” down planned parenthood. Planned parenthood should not be getting government funds. Fund it yourself. Nobody is stopping you.


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